Friday, 24 August 2012

Business Buzz 66: The Atlantic Wire: What's Happening in Missouri?

Business Buzz 66
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The Atlantic Wire: What's Happening in Missouri?
Aug 24th 2012, 19:47

The Atlantic Wire
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What's Happening in Missouri?
Aug 24th 2012, 19:43

Post-"legitimate rape" polls are bouncing around in Missouri, while Virginia is tied. Here's our guide to today's polls and why they matter. 

Findings: A Rasmussen poll shows Obama at 47 percent and Romney at 46 percent in Missouri. Romney has been ahead in the state all year, according to Rasmussen.  Pollster: Rasmussen Methodology: Automated poll of 500 likely voters in Missouri August 22 with a margin of error of +/-4.5 percentage points "with a 95% level of confidence."  Why it matters: Missouri is the state du jour what with Senate candidate Todd Akin's comments on rape creating a firestorm of controversy. In 2008, John McCain won the state by a small margin, but just yesterday a Public Policy Polling poll found Obama trailing by 10 points. Today's poll would seem to imply that Akin has hurt Romney, but it's important to note that Rasmussen and PPP have been flip-flopping when it comes to post-Akin scandal polls in both the senate and presidential races: Rasmussen, which leans conservative, showing the Democratic candidate up, and PPP, which skews liberal, showing the Republican. Both parties have been unhappy with the results of the senate polls, as Ariel Edwards-Levy and Mark Blumenthal of The Huffington Post note. Caveat: Rasmussen is right-leaning. 


Findings: The Virginia race is tied: 47 percent to each candidate. Two weeks ago Obama led by two points.  Pollster: Rasmussen  Methodology: Automated poll of 500 likely voters in Virginia August 23 with a margin of error of +/-4.5 percentage points "with a 95% level of confidence."  Why it matters: As Rasmussen points out, it is after all the state wherein Romney chose to announce his running mate, Paul Ryan. In a Business Insider post earlier this week Brett LoGiurato explained that Virginia was one of the states in which Romney appears to have gone up post-Ryan.  Caveat: We mentioned it before: Rasmussen goes right.

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